Wednesday, July 19, 2006
STATISTICAL DATABASIN'
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If you're still trying to while away those offseason blues with something other than Gilmore Girls marathons on one of the quasi-networks or its wholesome cable spin-off, Marty Couvillon's obsessive diligence is your gain at cfbstats.com, where he's just added every play from the 2005 season to the database.
What this means is that a curious fan may now call up his team - say, Southern Miss - and check out its cumulative offensive or defensive performance in pretty much any situation. He had this already for down and distance, but he's also now added scoring situations - i.e., what was said team's rushing performance when trailing by 1-7 points? In USM's case, it was horrible: the Eagles averaged -2.73 yards per carry on 41 attempts when trailing by one score and completed but 41.7 percent of passes (overall completion percentage in all situations: 54.8). Can you come back like that? No - and USM didn't come from behind to win a single game in '05.
This can also be used to lend some insight to Michigan fans' bemoaning the conservatism of the Wolverines' late defensive strategies in a series of comeback losses...sort of: It did give up more fourth quarter touchdowns than in any other quarter, but UM's defense was actually much better against the pass, above average against the run and only allowed one touchdown all season when leading by 1-7 points.
This is not necessarily relevant, but the more numbers in the fewer places in the least time, the better. Someone like Brian can do some bitchin' charts with this kind of material, and typically those are relevant.
The next step will be to make all of this sortable - what was USM's performance on rushing plays in the second quarter on third and 4-6 to go when leading by 1-7? No pressure or anything, Marty.
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Comments:
Unfortunately, the further you drill down in these situations the less data you have and the less meaningful the numbers become. Even the third down stuff was pretty tetchy out towards the edges and that was a relatively vast quantity of plays. So there's some limit to the usefulness of second quarter third down and six plays up by a single score.
But you probably knew that.
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But you probably knew that.
