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Sunday Morning Quarterback

Sunday Morning Quarterback

Thursday, May 11, 2006

AN ABSURDLY PREMATURE ASSESSMENT OF: AKRON
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SMQ spins the wheel for a hastily-rendered, too-soon look at a random school's prospects for the fall, sans inevitable academic and criminal suspensions, sudden transfers, debilitating injuries and other miscellaneous misfortunes of the long summer

Today:
AKRON
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Zips? Champions? Even they may have to do it again to believe it


PAST FIVE SEASONS: 28-30 (24-17 MAC) - 2005: 7-6 (6-3 MAC; Champions) lost Motor City Bowl
STARTERS BACK, ROUGHLY: 16 (8 Offense, 8 Defense)
WHAT'S CHANGED: The expectations for a conference champion returning a projected all-leaguer at quarterback, its entire offensive line and most of its defense will be far, far above any this program has dealt with in the decades since it moved out of the Ohio Valley Conference, where it wasn't all that great to begin with. Winning any fewer than eight games, a mark the school hasn't reached in its I-A life, might be viewed as a disappointment.
WHAT'S THE SAME: Aside from copping the St. Louis Rams' uniform look, there's quarterback Luke Getsy, one-time wonder-to-be at Pittsburgh, eased the transition to the post-Charlie Frye era by ripping ever-accomodating MAC defenses for 23 touchdowns (to 12 interceptions) and 3,400-plus yards, including three 400-yard games. Two of those came in the postseason, where Akron hadn't been despite a few winning seasons under Coach Lee Owen since it lost to Rhode Island in the first round of the 1985 Division I-AA playoffs - itself only the second postseason appearance in the program's 116-year history.

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Jeremy Carter called - he wants his shirt back...


Plus: all five offensive linemen are back up front.
SUBTRACTION BY SUBTRACTION: Gone, however, are all the guys who handled the ball besides Getsy - that's all-MAC receiver Dominik Hixon, his colleague Jason Montgomery and 1,200-yard rusher Brett Biggs. Into their place come a bunch of guys with not many career touches; Montreal native Jabari Arthur, who moved to receiver when Getsy beat him out for the QB job, and tight end Kris Kasparek are the only guys back with some experience with the ball in their hands.
OVERLY OPTIMISTIC POST-SPRING CHATTER: Worried about replacing Biggs, leading rusher and second-leading pass-catcher? Hell no - woe upon the wretched who try to impede the path of Dennis Kennedy to the end zone:

Throughout the scrimmage and all the drills, Kennedy seemed to shine. He consistently was making people miss and the ones that were able to get a hand on him, he was able to shed the tackle a good majority of the time.

"Dennis (Kennedy) has really stepped it up," Brookhart said. "He knows the opportunity he has and he is really taking advantage of it. We have been really pleased with him and his efforts this spring."


So, that takes care of that then...
REASON FOR HOPE: Three straight winning seasons defuses the fluke stuff; the Zips are a full-fledged MAC contender with a championship to show for it and one of the league's best players leading its defense.
REASON TO BE AFRAID, VERY AFRAID: The championship was kind of flukey - six other league teams matched the Zips' 5-3 MAC record and four others their seven overall wins; that tie-breaker crapshoot is unlikely to fall the same way again. How good will Getsy be with totally new talent around him?
IF THIS TEAM WERE ANY POP CULTURAL, HISTORICAL, POLITICAL, LITERARY OR OTHERWISE NOTABLE FIGURE, IT WOULD BE... Gerald Ford: pretty much stumbled into the top spot by not screwing up as badly as everyone around them, by accident, and probably not for very long.
HONESTLY, WITHOUT LOOKING AT THE SCHEDULE, SMQ'S THINKING... Returning talent probably = 7 wins again, but seeing as the Zips weren't exactly lighting the league on fire all of a sudden, not another championship, and not a second bowl game...at least, not one in America.


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Previous absurdly premature assessments:
April 3: Central Michigan...April 4: Brigham Young...April 6: Kentucky...April 7: Bowling Green...April 8: Southern Cal...April 11: Rutgers...April 12: Marshall...April 13: Florida State...April 15: San Diego State...April 17: Alabama...April 19: Oregon State...April 20: Buffalo...April 22: NC State...April 23: Arizona...April 24: Memphis...April 26: Louisiana Tech...April 28: Iowa...April 30: Toledo...May 2: Ohio State...May 3: Mississippi State...May 5: Southern Miss...UL-Lafayette

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PREVIOUSLY FROM SMQ:

2006 Preview
Anatomy of an Underdog
BlogPoll: 1-10/11-25/Roundtable
The ACC
The Big Ten
The Big XII
The Sun Belt

Running Departments
The Rap Sheet
July 29/Aug. 1/Aug. 9/Aug. 16/Aug.19/Aug. 25/Sept. 28/Oct. 4/Oct. 5/Oct. 18/Oct. 26/Nov. 2/Nov. 7/Nov. 8/Nov. 28/Dec. 2/Dec. 8/ Dec. 11/Dec. 18/Dec. 21/Feb. 6/Feb. 10/April 7/April 14/April 21/April 29/May 6/May 12/May 19/May 26/June 2/June 10/June 16/June 24/June 30/July 8/Aug. 4

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SMQ-APPROVED
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PAGES

News from the Big Guys
ESPN/ College Football News Wire
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USA Today
Opinion: Columnists and bloggers
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The Corporate Headquarters of the San Antonio Gunslingers
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ESPN: Ivan Maisel/Pat Forde
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FOX: Pete Fiutak
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Mark May Be Wrong
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We Must Ignite This Couch (West Virginia)
The Wizard of Odds

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The Blog Poll

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WANNA DO SOME RESEARCH? NERD! HERE'S SOME QUICK REFERENCES:

College Football Data Warehouse
College Football Research Center
College Football News
cfbstats.com
Football Commentary
THE STANDINGS
THE POLLS

INDIVIDUAL STATISTICS
Rushing
Passing
Receiving
All-Purpose
Scoring
Tackles
Sacks
Interceptions
Tackles For Loss
Field Goals
Punting
Kickoff Returns
Punt Returns
TEAM STATISTICS
Rushing Offense
Passing Offense
Total Offense
Scoring Offense
Rushing Defense
Passing Defense
Total Defense
Scoring Defense
Turnover Margin

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Past Seasons
2005
Thursday Morning Quarterback
Sept. 29/Oct. 6/Oct. 20/Oct. 27/Nov. 3/Nov. 10/Nov. 17/Nov. 24/Dec. 1
Sunday Morning Quarterback
Oct. 2/Oct. 23/Oct. 30/Nov. 6/Nov. 13/Nov. 27
Stat Relevance Watch
Part One/Part Two/Part Three
SMQ Bowl Blitz
New Orleans/GMAC/Las Vegas/Poinsettia/Motor City

SMQ's [Hurricane-Abbreviated] 2005 Preview
Top 25 Countdown/Methodology
All-America Team
ACC
BIG EAST
BIG TEN
BIG XII